Digest for sci.electronics.repair@googlegroups.com - 25 updates in 3 topics

Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Oct 31 04:58PM

On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 16:08:58 +0000 (UTC), Algeria Horan wrote:
 
> How long do LED shop/ceiling lights really last at full output anyway?
 
Doing some due diligence, I find that there *are* rules in place.
https://www.ftc.gov/tips-advice/business-center/guidance/ftc-lighting-facts-label-questions-answers-manufacturers
 
The Lighting Facts label contains:
1. a bulb's brightness,
2. energy cost,
3. life,
4. light appearance,
5. and wattage
 
Specifically:
1. The brightness in average *initial* lumens rounded to the nearest 5
2. Annual *initial* energy cost at a low 3h/day at an unrealistic 11¢/kWH
3. Life in years, rounded to 1/10th based on a low usage of only 3h/day
4. Color in Kelvin ranging from 2,600K on the left to 6,600K on the right
5. Wattage in average *initial* wattage
 
Note that, for LEDs, the "initial" specs are almost certainly going to be
vastly different than the actual specs over time, so, already, the label has
to be taken with a grain of salt.
 
Also note the highly unrealistic 11¢/kWH (which is essentially unattainable,
where I live).
 
But at least we know what the LEDs are supposed to deliver, initially.
 
So now we need to figure out what typically happens to these LED light bulbs
over time, mostly in terms of light output & when the lifetime brightness
cutoff point has been reached.
Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca>: Oct 31 01:16PM -0400

scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal): Oct 31 06:08PM

>On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 16:08:58 +0000 (UTC), Algeria Horan wrote:
 
>> How long do LED shop/ceiling lights really last at full output anyway?
 
http://www.digikey.com/en/articles/techzone/2012/feb/understanding-the-cause-of-fading-in-high-brightness-leds
Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Oct 31 06:26PM

On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 13:16:53 -0400, Michael Black wrote:
 
> Put one in, and leave it on so it runs up the hours, and see when light
> diminishes.
 
That's effectively what most of you have done, since many of you have LED
lights (I only have one, which I bought from Costco about two months ago, to
replace a non-standard bulb ceiling fixture).
http://cafecocina.com/whome/2015/11/02/costco-led-ceiling-lamps/
 
I have the box in my hands.
Here's what it says on the box:
 
Light Output: 1,495 lumens (remember, that's only the *initial* output!)
Watts: 21Watts (remember, that's only the initial watts)
Lumens per watt: 71.19 (why is this even there?)
Color Accuracy: 82 CRI color rendering index (whatever that means)
Light Color = 3000K "Bright White" (which isn't white on the scale)
 
They do reference more information:
Web: http://www.lightingfacts.com
Telephone: 800-787-1021x4
 
Going to that web site and typing in the model number of "AL-3151" was a
wasted effort as they have just the label that is already on the package.
 
Calling that number was also a waste of time, because the customer support
guy said "it lasts more than 5 years because that's the warranty if the
driver fails", which is also a stupid answer (they can give me a warranty of
500 years and it still doesn't answer the question).
 
I pressed for a real answer, and the guy said "50,000 to 60,000 hours", to
which I was incredulous. So I simply asked where he got that figure, and he
said that's what he says for all questions.
 
Obviously he was blowing smoke at me, so I asked for someone who actually
wasn't gonna just make this stuff up, so he transferred me to his "technical
support" guy, whose email is apparently gmijangos at jimway.com so I left
him a message to let me know what the *tested* lifetime of the lamp is.
 
Disgusted, I called the Costco Wholesale number on the package,
800-774-2678, x3, product information, x1 product information and they took
down my information and said they'd get back to me on the L70 lifetime.
 
One thing the operator had handy, which is more smoke blown in our faces,
but which she kindly stated it was all she had, which was "LED *chips* last
50,000 hours, 34 years@4 hours/day).
 
That's not what we're asking, since we know two things:
a. The LED chip output diminishes from day 1
b. The driver is the weakest link with respect to lifetime
 
> Most of us haven't had LED bulbs long enough to have any feel for their
> lives.
 
The problem with *everything* on the planet where there is a choice, is that
the MARKETING people only talk about the good stuff (e.g., FWD slides
straight in the snow, for a hilarious example), but they don't talk about
the BAD STUFF (e.g., weight ratios and working in the engine bay are
atrocious for most FWD cars).
 
So, the problem that I see with the LED marketing is that people are only
talking about the good stuff, which is all fine and dandy.
 
But I'm looking for information on the bad stuff too.
 
Like the fact that the output decreases the moment you plug it in,
 
> I'd also point out that if you read the fine print on the LED bulb
> packages, the number of years they last is based on a limited number of
> hours every day.
 
Apparently, it's based on 4 hours per day, based on what I wrote above.
 
> actual hours may be okay, if somewhat low. I leave the ceiling light on
> all day, that will diminish the numver of years the bulb lasts if I look
> at the stated "number of years".
 
I'm not sure why the total number of hours would be different if you use the
light for 4 hours a day or for 24 hours a day, but apparently it is.

> going to lower regular prices. And I'm using something like 19Watts (I
> think actually less) compared to the 100W of an incandescent bulb, so
> power usage is down.
 
On the bulbs you just bought, what's the L70 time period?
"jfeng@my-deja.com" <jfeng@my-deja.com>: Oct 31 11:32AM -0700

On Monday, October 31, 2016 at 9:09:03 AM UTC-7, Algeria Horan wrote:
> How long do LED shop/ceiling lights really last at full output anyway?
 
One of the failure mechanisms is insufficient heat sinking, so the electronics (probably the electrolytics in the SMPS) get cooked and die earlier. Cheap bulbs may be OK when mounted base down, but have reduced lifetimes in other orientations. The more expensive ones may have better heat sinking and better tolerate being mounted base up. Feel how hot the bulb gets at the neck.
Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Oct 31 07:08PM

On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 18:08:23 GMT, Scott Lurndal wrote:
 
>>> How long do LED shop/ceiling lights really last at full output anyway?
 
> http://www.digikey.com/en/articles/techzone/2012/feb/understanding-the-cause-of-fading-in-high-brightness-leds
 
Thanks for that url.
Here's a relevant set of snippets from:
 
Understanding the Cause of Fading in High-Brightness LEDs
By Steven Keeping
Contributed By Electronic Products, 2012-02-21
 
LED failure" is most likely to be the result of light output falling below
an acceptable threshold (typically 70 percent of the initial output.
 
The primary cause of that fading (or "lumen failure") is triggered (for the
most part) by the minute threading dislocations introduced to the chip
during wafer manufacture.
 
Threading dislocations are a major problem...where threading dislocations
are vertical micro-cracks caused by strain generated by the mismatch in
InGaN and Sapphire or SiC crystal lattices .. and where ... things get worse
over time, as the rate of degradation is directly related to the initial
density of threading dislocations and the heat to which the LED is subjected
... all of which gets worse ... due to heating during operation, thermal
expansion and shrinkage when the LED is turned on and off, and mechanical
stress such as vibration.
 
Worse yet ... as the chip ages, it will run hotter and hotter ... due to an
increased number of phonons, accelerating the formation of dislocations and
the device's eventual demise.
 
-------------------
So now we know what kills LEDs to the 70% level (which is the formal
definition of dead), which is that inherent cracks between crystals form
over time, just as mud cracks as it dries at the bottom of a pond.
 
The fundamental problem is cracks between crystals only gets worse.
b. Heat makes things worse even faster
c. On/off cycles makes things worse even faster
d. Vibration makes things worse even faster
 
So, given they don't heat/vibrate/cycle the LEDS (other than the 4 hours per
day), you'll likely never get the advertised L70 lifetime in the real world.
 
But what do you get for a 70%-illumination lifetime in the real world?
Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Oct 31 07:38PM

On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 19:08:08 +0000 (UTC), Algeria Horan wrote:
 
 
> So, given they don't heat/vibrate/cycle the LEDS (other than the 4 hours per
> day), you'll likely never get the advertised L70 lifetime in the real world.
 
> But what do you get for a 70%-illumination lifetime in the real world?
 
I forgot to mention that none of what kills the LED over time discusses the
frail electronics, which also fail.
 
So, we need to know how long the "LED drivers" last too.
 
The life of the fixture is the shorter of the two failure modes:
a. Inherent cracks between crystals get exponentially worse over time
b. The drivers suddenly fail at any time
 
So, we still don't have any decent grasp on how long LED fixtures last, in
the real world.
Jon Elson <jmelson@wustl.edu>: Oct 31 03:54PM -0500

Algeria Horan wrote:
 
 
> TESTS: The F.T.C. found the bulbs produced only 74 lumens of light
 
> CLAIM: The LED bulbs in question would last 30,000 hours
> TESTS: They lost 80 percent of their light output after only 1,000 hours
 
YIKES!
 
I built my own LED light replacement for 48" tubes in our kitchen. They
have been running about 2 years, now. If they have lost some output, it is
not real obvious to me.
 
I'm getting something like 2000 lumens from a 20-LED string, running on 21 W
measured from the mains supply.
 
I can't reply to commercially produced retrofits, some of them are
apparently quite awful.
 
Jon
"pfjw@aol.com" <pfjw@aol.com>: Oct 31 01:53PM -0700

High end LED devices (Cree/RAB/GE) will last many thousands of hours and if they last the first 200 hours, will do so pretty much without further ado.
 
In a previous life, I managed retail shopping centers, wherein we replaced lot lighting with LED devices (RAB) in the 2700K spectrum. Where we were replacing lamps on-average once per year throughout the center, it has been three (3) years now without a single failure at one location, and two years without a single failure at another location. And this is 60 heads at one location and 22 at another.
 
As to residential LED lamps - if you buy crap, expect crap in return. As previously noted, heat-sinking is critical, assembly quality is critical, and the actual LED emitters are critical. I have done two offices in CREE devices, with one (1) failure in three years. And that was within the first 200 hours - replaced by CREE including shipping both ways without a murmur.
 
They were not cheap, but, they worked and still are working. And the power savings are dead-on per the package statements.
 
Guys and gals, this is not rocket science. We were early adopters of the technology, true, and perhaps paid for that earliness in first-cost. But, even at that price, the paybacks have been as-represented. And I have learned over the years the perils of being price-driven for any new/cutting edge technology at all, and especially for one where the price disparities are significant.
 
As far as "due diligence" is concerned, about any manufacturer can paper their way to an impressive review, and the FTC has this touching habit of believing what they are told until beaten down with the clue-stick-otherwise. Ask a USER. Several users. And if a manufacturer/supplier cannot give you as many users as you wish, RUN, don't walk away. Or, if the technology is so new as there are, legitimately, few users, ask about paying out of the promised savings. I have had excellent success on that basis. The REPUTABLE Manufacturer wins by gaining a sale, and a referral, you win by 'seeing' the savings right up front.
 
We are gradually shifting to CREE devices at home - as our 8+ year old CFL devices gradually die.
 
One last note: Habitat for Humanity was selling 19-watt LED Devices for $1 a few weeks ago, from China, of course. I invested $3 to check them out. One (1) device in our Kitchen lights stepped on every radio/tuner AM or FM in the entire house (4,800 square feet, three stories) including brands and devices from Zenith (9S262) to Revox (A720). About the only things that did not seem to be affected were our WiFi router and cell phones. We have a dozen CREE lamps, and no issue from them.
 
Peter Wieck
Melrose Park, PA
Jeff Liebermann <jeffl@cruzio.com>: Oct 31 03:13PM -0700

On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 19:08:08 +0000 (UTC), Algeria Horan
 
>But what do you get for a 70%-illumination lifetime in the real world?
 
Dunno. Your real world LED application is not the same as my real
world LED application and the science fiction world of marketing tech
products.
 
Perhaps you might be interested in "lumen depreciation", L90, L80,
L70, TM-21, LM-80, LM-40, etc.
<http://www.p-2.com/blog/lighting-basics-lifespan-lumen-depreciation-l70-tm-21-lm-80-lm-40-and-other-confusing-yet-useful-terms/>
There are some interesting methods of calculating LED life such as:
"Reported TM-21 values have an upper limit of 6-times the number
of LM-80 test hours. So if an LED chip is tested for 6,000 hours,
its max reported TM-21 lifetime would be 36,000 hours. If the
chip was tested for 10,000 hours, its max reported TM-21 would
be 60,000 hours."
Magic is a reallly nice way to produce bigger numbers.
 
One can also be devious:
"It's worth noting that there are two different types of
TM-21 ratings, "reported" and "calculated" ratings."
Sigh...
 
Few run 30,000 hr tests. At 8,760 hrs/year, it would take over three
years to run the test, by which time the product is obsolete and
replaced by something new and improved. Instead, they run a HALT
(Highly Accelerated Life Test), which is faster, and presumably
produces the necessary inflated figures:
<https://www.google.com/search?q=led+accelerated+life+testing>
The basic idea is to test the LED at various elevated temperatures,
connect the dots on a graph, and extrapolate to how long it might last
at some specified operating temperature. At 25C it will last nearly
forever, which assumes that the LED has some form of cooling system.
One can generate amazingly large and impressive numbers this way.
Despite my derisive comments, it does work quite well when performed
honestly and where the test parameters are sane.
 
For example, IEC 62717 and IEC 62722 LED life testing standards both
demand 6,000 hrs of test time, with total output in lumens recorded
every 1,000 hrs. Measuring lumens accurately requires an integrating
sphere:
<https://www.google.com/search?q=integrating+sphere&tbm=isch>
which might explain why they don't just use a common light meter and
why there are so few measurement points. Some detail on how Luxo
specifies its lifetimes:
<http://glamox.com/gsx/led-lifetime-and-the-factors-that-affect-it>
I doubt if we will ever see detailed life test results from Costco
LED's as you might from higher priced LED luminaires.
 
 
--
Jeff Liebermann jeffl@cruzio.com
150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com
Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com
Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558
nmassello@yahoo.com (Neill Massello): Oct 31 05:16PM -0600


> Also note the highly unrealistic 11「/kWH (which is essentially unattainable,
> where I live).
 
They were probably using the US Total All Sectors figure from this page:
 
<https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.cfm?t=epmt_5_6_a>
Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Nov 01 02:38AM

On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 17:16:09 -0600, Neill Massello wrote:
 
>> where I live).
 
> They were probably using the US Total All Sectors figure from this page:
 
> <https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.cfm?t=epmt_5_6_a>
 
Thanks for finding that.
 
Oh, to live in Louisiana, at less than 10¢/kWH.
 
California is listed at double that, at 19¢/kWH, but even that must be some
kind of wacko average as we pay a tiered system, where, in practice, the
first tier is used up in the first week of the month, the second tier by the
third week, and the next tier for the end of the month.
 
It goes up precipitously with each tier, and the tiers are the same for
everyone, so they do NOT take into account anything specific like the number
of bedrooms or bathrooms or square feet or even the number of people.
Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Nov 01 02:38AM

On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 15:13:01 -0700, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
 
> Perhaps you might be interested in "lumen depreciation", L90, L80,
> L70, TM-21, LM-80, LM-40, etc.
> <http://www.p-2.com/blog/lighting-basics-lifespan-lumen-depreciation-l70-tm-21-lm-80-lm-40-and-other-confusing-yet-useful-terms/>
 
Yikes Jeff!
 
You would bring up *more* complex LED-lifetime terms to figure out!
 
And, you would also find MARKETING BULLSHIT in the mix!
 
LM-80 = a standard for measuring LED lumen maintenance & depreciation
LM-40 = time for 50% of the lamps in a large group to burn out
L70 = time to degrade to 70% of its original lumens
L80 = time to degrade to 80% of its original lumens
L90 = time to degrade to 90% of its original lumens
Reported TM-21 = predicts lifetime using LM80 + optimistic magic math
Calculated TM-21 = predicts lifetime using LM80 + more optimistic magic math
 
> Few run 30,000 hr tests.
 
Hence the "magic math" on the lifetime figures...
 
> One can generate amazingly large and impressive numbers this way.
> Despite my derisive comments, it does work quite well when performed
> honestly and where the test parameters are sane.
 
Seems to me that the "LED lifetime" figure everyone is quoting in this
thread and in other threads is total bullshit, so far...
 
> I doubt if we will ever see detailed life test results from Costco
> LED's as you might from higher priced LED luminaires.
 
Well, I was sick of replacing very expensive non-standard Philips
fluorescent bulbs, so I bought the LED light fixture from Costco just to get
rid of the non-standard wacko shaped bulbs that kept burning out anyway.
http://uk.rs-online.com/web/p/non-integrated-compact-fluorescent-lamps/4075597/
 
I asked Costco and the manufacturer to provide the information on the
lifetime of the LED light that I did buy.
 
I didn't get anything more than "hey, the warranty is 5 years so that's how
long it lasts".
 
What irks me is that they seem to never have run into someone who doesn't
accept that bs as an "answer" to the question of how long the light fixture
is expected to last.
 
I'm guessing the LED light fixture I bought lasts no longer than a couple
sets of incandescent bulbs would have.
 
Time will tell.
Phil Allison <pallison49@gmail.com>: Oct 31 07:46PM -0700

Algeria Horan wrote:
 
> How long do LED shop/ceiling lights really last at full output anyway?
 
** The last until they fail or fade badly.
 
 
> In another thread, the topic came up that LED lights may not last as long
> nor as bright as claimed on the package:
 
** The lighting industry is full of crooks, has been for decades.
 
Performance claims are simply made up by marketing pukes, not engineers.
 
Products are mainly made in China to the lowest possible cost and samples are rarely tested by anyone other than consumers.
 
Failing to live up to the claims made on the box is a LEGAL issue, not an electronics problem.
 
 
> Lights of America exaggerated LED light bulb performance
> http://archive.jsonline.com/blogs/news/246355581.html
> http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/08/federal-agency-sues-led-bulb-maker/
 
 
** Maybe that will shake a few of them up a bit.
 
Meanwhile you are just pissing in the wind.
 

 
.... Phil
Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net>: Nov 01 12:14AM -0400


> On Mon, 31 Oct 2016 19:08:08 +0000 (UTC), Algeria Horan
> <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net> wrote:
 
>>But what do you get for a 70%-illumination lifetime in the real world?
 
root,
 
Believe it or not, the tests are designed to reflect real world usage.
 
You keep implying that there is something wrong with all advertised
LED bulb lifetimes. Then you tell us you need to Google search to
find out if that's true.
 
> Dunno. Your real world LED application is not the same as my real
> world LED application and the science fiction world of marketing tech
> products.
...
> Few run 30,000 hr tests. At 8,760 hrs/year, it would take over three
> years to run the test, by which time the product is obsolete and
> replaced by something new and improved.
 
Jeff,
 
Actually, 3 years wouldn't be useful for anything but the decidedly
"not realworld" test case of continuous use.
 
It would take considerably more than 3 years to test the common
on at night, off during the day test case.
 
> Instead, they run a HALT
> (Highly Accelerated Life Test), which is faster, and presumably
> produces the necessary inflated figures:
 
You could have left the word "inflated" out of that sentence.
It's an insult to the rather clever testing that you described.
 
... snipped test description.
 
--
Dan Espen
Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net>: Nov 01 12:27AM -0400


> It goes up precipitously with each tier, and the tiers are the same for
> everyone, so they do NOT take into account anything specific like the number
> of bedrooms or bathrooms or square feet or even the number of people.
 
Read the full report Appendix C.
Then come back and tell us how unrealistic their numbers are.
 
--
Dan Espen
Phil Allison <pallison49@gmail.com>: Oct 31 09:42PM -0700

Algeria Horan wrote:
 
 
> Well, I was sick of replacing very expensive non-standard Philips
> fluorescent bulbs, so I bought the LED light fixture from Costco just to get
> rid of the non-standard wacko shaped bulbs that kept burning out anyway.
 
http://uk.rs-online.com/web/p/non-integrated-compact-fluorescent-lamps/4075597/
 
 
** Those fluoro lamps are for *commercial use* where they are either left on permanently or cycled once a day. The main wear out mechanism is to the filaments when starting.
 
Had one in your bathroom did you ?
 
 
.... Phil
Colin Horsley <horsley-spam@westnet.com.au>: Nov 01 05:03PM +1100

On 1/11/2016 13:46, Phil Allison wrote:
 
>> In another thread, the topic came up that LED lights may not last as long
>> nor as bright as claimed on the package:
 
> ** The lighting industry is full of crooks, has been for decades.
 
Have you seen this?
 
http://conspiracy.wikia.com/wiki/Light_bulb_conspiracy
 
or
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1j0XDGIsUg
 
Colin
 
 
 
---
This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software.
https://www.avast.com/antivirus
Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Nov 01 02:11PM

On Tue, 01 Nov 2016 00:14:43 -0400, Dan Espen wrote:
 
> Believe it or not, the tests are designed to reflect real world usage.
 
Real world seems to *always* be less than advertised lifetime.
At least for me they seem to be.
 
I'd be pleasantly surprised if LED bulbs last 5 years.
 
What fails?
a. The electronics!
b. The bulbs.
 
> You keep implying that there is something wrong with all advertised
> LED bulb lifetimes. Then you tell us you need to Google search to
> find out if that's true.
 
We know the manufacturers lie, or, more accurately, the MARKETING people,
who make the labels, say only what they want you to think.
 
For example, they'll tell you an LED itself lasts 50,000 hours, but they
won't tell you the "driver" lasts anywhere from zero to a couple of years.
 
> You could have left the word "inflated" out of that sentence.
> It's an insult to the rather clever testing that you described.
 
The one thing about Jeff is that he's shown himself over the past decade to
be a well-balanced person who is not swayed, like most people are, by
exaggerated claims, whether they be any claim by Apple for their WiFi
reception, or a bogus claim by LED manufacturers (such as the ones I
received on the phone yesterday) as to lifetime.
 
He'll deny this though, as he doesn't like accolades, but he is always on
the money, and, he almost always provides *proof*, something which you need
to provide also in order for us to believe your claims (I'm not saying you
didn't or don't provide proof - I'm just saying that Jeff almost always does
- so what he says carries weight).
 
Also, Jeff runs his own *tests* of tons of things, which are tests that most
of us have never run, they're that detailed (ask him about router claims
versus the real world some day!).
 
Jeff is like I am. We prove what we say, and we provide references, and
photos and other reliable statistics. You'd need to do the same to hold
water with us.
 
Anyway, fact is, I have a bulb, in my very hand, incandescent, that failed
in two days.
https://s15.postimg.org/92aoq3xej/burned_out_in_two_days.jpg
 
Notice the package says "1.4 year life".
https://s18.postimg.org/602tefda1/ge_bulb_burned_out.jpg
Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net>: Nov 01 10:59AM -0400


> Jeff is like I am. We prove what we say, and we provide references, and
> photos and other reliable statistics. You'd need to do the same to hold
> water with us.
 
See Appendix C as I stated in my other post.
Then tell me how your methods are so superior to those used by
the experts.
 
> https://s15.postimg.org/92aoq3xej/burned_out_in_two_days.jpg
 
> Notice the package says "1.4 year life".
> https://s18.postimg.org/602tefda1/ge_bulb_burned_out.jpg
 
Do you honestly think that proves anything?
 
I have 3 CFLs in a lamp post since 2000.
Just this year, one of them gave up the ghost.
They are activated when it gets dark.
So, they're on at least 12 hours a day, every day.
Construct some statistics out of that.
 
--
Dan Espen
Meanie <meanie@gmail.com>: Nov 01 11:18AM -0400

On 11/1/2016 10:11 AM, Algeria Horan wrote:
 
> What fails?
> a. The electronics!
> b. The bulbs.
 
I can assure you, we replaced incandescent floodlights back in 2010 with
LEDs in one of our buildings. These lights are on 8 to 10 hours a day,
if not longer and we've yet to replace any of them (over 50).
 
 
I understand your skepticism as a general consumer, but I've been
experiencing the products first hand. I've been dealing with LEDs for
many years and I agree, they do diminish in brightness after their
manufactured rating, the quality lamps last up to their claim if not
longer. Of course, we don't purchase the cheap ones you buy at Home Depot.
Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Nov 01 03:20PM

On Tue, 01 Nov 2016 00:27:31 -0400, Dan Espen wrote:
 
> Read the full report Appendix C.
> Then come back and tell us how unrealistic their numbers are.
 
Dan,
You come across as challenging the facts, but, you provide few facts on your
own. It's easy to challenge, but it takes effort to back up your challenge.
 
I read my electricity bill.
Those are "my" facts.
 
I don't even have to show you my bill.
I'll simply point you to the PG&E Tiered Plan that I'm on:
https://www.pge.com/en_US/residential/rate-plans/rate-plan-options/tiered-base-plan/tiered-base-plan.page
 
Do you see *anything* anywhere near 10 cents?
Anything?
 
Look again:
https://www.pge.com/pge_global/local/images/data/en-us/rate-plans/rate-plan-options/how-tiers-work-graph.jpg
 
The first tier (which lasts about a week) is almost double that.
The next tier is almost triple.
And the fourth tier, the one that you use for the second half of the month,
or the last week, if you're frugal, is almost quadruple that.
 
Those are facts.
Do you dispute the facts?
 
What facts do you have for my rate that dispute that?
Algeria Horan <algeriahoran@algeria.horan.net>: Nov 01 03:20PM

On Tue, 01 Nov 2016 10:59:44 -0400, Dan Espen wrote:
 
 
>> Notice the package says "1.4 year life".
>> https://s18.postimg.org/602tefda1/ge_bulb_burned_out.jpg
 
> Do you honestly think that proves anything?
 
I understand your point, which is that I can say it lasted 10,000 years.
If I could prove it completely, and if it was worth the effort, I would,
just like Jeff *proved* that WiFi reception in routers was NOT what the
manufacturers claimed.
 
But you are like those people who say "prove it" to everything, which is
fine, but *you* have to provide some semblance of a reason to go to the
effort to prove things that we just have to accept on faith.
 
I was backing up your unproven claim that Jeff was not being balanced, in
effect, when I know, from the last decade on s.e.r and a.i.w that Jeff "is"
well balanced, and he proves what is worth proving.
 
> They are activated when it gets dark.
> So, they're on at least 12 hours a day, every day.
> Construct some statistics out of that.
 
You entirely and completely missed the point.
Did you buy too many arguments this week?
 
All I was saying is that your claim against Jeff's veracity are completely
unfounded. You're entitled to your opinion, but if I asked you to prove that
you had sex with your wife five times this week, do I really expect you to
prove that?
 
What I'm saying is simply that your criticism of Jeff was unfounded, if you
look at the entire record. And, I'm saying that 11 cents per kilowatt hour
is a magical number entirely unachievable by me, in California.
 
If you claim otherwise, I'm only asking you to attempt to back up your very
own claims with fact, as I did with Jeff, and as I did with the price of
electricity in California.
N_Cook <diverse@tcp.co.uk>: Nov 01 02:56PM

Headscratching time. On first receipt tried the amp out as owner had
been using 1 channel only , after having blown the other by shorting it.
Both LV ac fuses ok but one SAP15 p-type blown.
Had to cross-over power Darlington terminals as mirror footprint from
the usual BCE orientation.
Cleared out and replaced with that fudge for the SAP and other blown
1/8W Rs and tried out at 50% mains.
Variac meter swung right over to the right and both LV fuses blew.
Replaced fuses and tried at 20% mains, half amp or so of mains draw.
Diconnect mains and main +ve and main -ve rail measure 0 ohm to ground
for 10 or 20 seconds and then goes high impedance.
Tried at 10% mains and sometimes +ve rail would be at zero ohms for 20
seconds or so and sometimes -ve rail like that, on repeating this game.
Cannot see anything in the way of a crowbar SCR anywhere or relay and
circuit looks much as the A500 that is out there , including overlay
numberings.
There is conductive brown glue to the main caps but that measured 2 meg
or so minimum, with close DVM probes.
All output devices and my fudge cross-compare DVM-D cold fashion, fine
still.
When I say 0 ohms I do mean that , well 0.1 ohm or less resistance.
Unless anyone has an idea what is going, the next will be to remove my
fudge and power up again.
ephraim.becker@gmail.com: Oct 31 12:43PM -0700

After a period of non-use I pulled my Samsung ML-1610 back into service, and put in a new cartridge (since then I've put in yet another in the thoughts that the problem lies there) and fired her up.
 
When fully cold the printer prints out about half to two-thirds of the test page and then pauses. It then ejects the test page and proceeds to give short bursts of movement (gears turn about a half turn, fuser lights up for the same second or two) lather, rinse, repeat. I've let it run on this way for several minutes and the only variability that I notice is that the brief bursts vary in length from a second to a bit longer, otherwise it is just the same old while the OnLine/Error light flashes its error signal.
 
I've taken off the various covers and checked for stray paper on a sensor, blew some compressed air on anything that might resemble dust, but the problem persists. It feels as though the unit has 'lost its way' but I don't know how to help reset it.
 
Any thoughts will be most appreciated!
Best,
ED
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